Research & Data
COVID-19 is a once-in-a-century health crisis. Thanks to their presence in the economically vital and densely populated Northeast Corridor, the economists and analysts of the Philadelphia Fed's Research Department are uniquely qualified to track the pandemic's effect on our District and the national economy in real time. Click here to see all of the department's cutting-edge research into this emerging global emergency.
Philadelphia Fed economists and analysts advise Federal Reserve policymakers, report and study data, and conduct research on the economy, banking, and monetary policy.
Latest Research
- Tri-State Tracking Updated — October 9, 2020
- "The Role of Government and Private Institutions in Credit
Cycles in the U.S. Mortgage Market," by Manuel Adelino, W. Ben McCartney, and Antoinette Schoar, Working Paper 20-40, October 2020.
- "A Quantitative Theory of the Credit Score," by Satyajit Chatterjee, Dean Corbae, Kyle Dempsey, and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, Working Paper 20-39, September 2020.
- Monetary Policy Report —
September 29, 2020
- "The Geography of Travel Behavior in the Early Phase of the COVID-19 Pandemic," by Jeffrey C. Brinkman and Kyle Mangum, Working Paper 20-38, September 2020.
- "Mortgage Loss Severities: What Keeps Them So High?," by Xudong An and Larry Cordell, Working Paper 20-37, September 2020. Supersedes Working Paper 19-19.
- "Post-Merger Product Repositioning: An Empirical Analysis," by Enghin Atalay, Alan Sorensen, Christopher Sullivan, and Wanjia Zhu, Working Paper 20-36, September 2020.
- "High-Dimensional DSGE Models: Pointers on Prior, Estimation, Comparison, and Prediction," by Siddhartha Chib, Minchul Shin, and Fei Tan, Working Paper 20-35, September 2020.
- "A World Without Borders Revisited: The Impact of Online Sales Tax Collection on Shopping and Search," by Mallick Hossain, Working Paper 20-34, August 2020.
- "Financial Consequences of Identity Theft," by Nathan Blascak, Julia Cheney, Robert M. Hunt, Vyacheslav Mikhed, Dubravka Ritter, and Michael Vogan, Working Paper 20-33, August 2020. Supersedes Working Paper 19-02.
- "Probability Forecast Combination via Entropy Regularized Wasserstein Distance," by Ryan Cumings-Menon and Minchul Shin, Working Paper 20-31/R, August 2020.
- "The Credit Card Act and Consumer Debt Structure," by Yiwei Dou, Julapa Jagtiani, Joshua Ronen, and Raman Quinn Maingi, Working Paper 20-32, August 2020.
- "Bank Stress Test Results and Their Impact on Consumer Credit Markets," by Sumit Agarwal, Xudong An, Larry Cordell, and Raluca A. Roman, Working Paper 20-30, July 2020.
- "The Firm Size and Leverage Relationship and Its Implications for Entry and Business Concentration," by Satyajit Chatterjee and Burcu Eyigungor, Working Paper 20-29, July 2020. (Supersedes Working Paper 19-18.)
- "Vacancy Chains," by Michael W.L. Elsby, Ryan Michaels, and David Ratner, Working Paper 20-28, July 2020.
- "Labor Supply Within the Firm," by Michele Battisti, Ryan Michaels, and Choonsung Park Working Paper 20-27, July 2020.
Last update: October 9, 2020
