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Monday, January 23, 2017

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  • Aruoba Term Structure of Inflation ExpectationsAruoba Term Structure of Inflation Expectations Updated

    The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s Real-Time Data Research Center has updated the Aruoba Term Structure of Inflation Expectations (ATSIX), a smooth, continuous curve of inflation expectations three to 120 months ahead. Read the release.

  • Patrick T. HarkerPhiladelphia Fed’s Harker: New Jersey’s Economy Shows Significant Progress Despite Slow Recovery

    While New Jersey’s economy has made significant progress since the recession, the state faces “different issues than other states” that impact the recovery of its housing and labor markets, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick T. Harker said today in remarks at the New Jersey Bankers Association’s annual Economic Leadership Forum. Read the press release. Read the speech.

  • Philadelphia Fed Appoints New Members to Economic and Community Advisory Council

    January 19, 2017 — The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has appointed three new members to its Economic and Community Advisory Council, a committee that informs the Bank’s senior leadership team about emerging issues and market conditions in the Third Federal Reserve District and nationwide. Read the press release.

  • Manufacturing Business Outlook SurveyManufacturing Activity Continued to Improve in January

    Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow in January, according to firms responding to this month's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The diffusion index of current activity increased from a revised reading of 19.7 in December to 23.6 this month. Read the report.

  • The Federal Reserve Bank of PhiladelphiaThe Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia helps formulate and implement monetary policy, supervises banks and bank holding companies, and provides financial services to depository institutions and the federal government. One of the 12 regional Banks that, together with the Board of Governors in Washington, D.C., make up the Federal Reserve System, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank serves eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware. Learn more about us.

Economic Updates Last update: January 19, 2017, 10:00 a.m. ET

Business Outlook
Coincident Indexes
Leading Indexes
ADS Business
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State Coincident Indexes

Combine four state-level indicators to summarize current economic conditions in a single statistic.

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State Leading Indexes

Predict the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index.

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Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index: Plot Since Last Peak
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Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

Designed to track real macroeconomic activity at high frequency. Last updated on January 19, 2017.

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