Article
Can Workforce Demographics Affect the Broader Economy? Evidence of a Link in Japan
15 Nov ’21
Research in Focus – In recent decades, the composition of the Japanese workforce has skewed older. The authors measure how this aging labor pool has influenced the path of the broader economy.
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Refining Set-Identification in VARs Through Independence
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Featured Data
Livingston Survey
The oldest continuous survey of economists' expectations that summarizes the forecasts of economists from industry, government, banking, and academia
Updated: 18 Jun ’21
Survey of Professional Forecasters
The oldest quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States
Updated: 15 Nov ’21
Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index
An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency
Updated: 03 Dec ’21
Real-Time Data Set for Macroeconomists
The real-time data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of time series of major macroeconomic variables. The data set may be used by macroeconomic researchers to verify empirical results, to analyze policy, or to forecast. New vintages are added monthly.
Updated: 24 Nov ’21
GDPplus
Measure of the quarter-over-quarter rate of growth of real output in continuously compounded annualized percentage points
Updated: 24 Nov ’21
Aruoba Term Structure of Inflation Expectations
A continuous curve of inflation expectations three to 120 months ahead, analogous to a yield curve
Updated: 30 Nov ’21