Article
How Accurate Are Long-Run Employment Projections?
Economic Insights — The occupational mix has been changing for decades. Planners and decision-makers need to know how it will continue to change, and why.
Featured Work
Article
Regional Spotlight: How Third District Firms Were Impacted by COVID-19
Economic Insights — Starting early in the pandemic, Elif Sen began surveying Third District businesses every week. The first few weeks of responses tell us a lot about how they're faring during these unprecedented times.
Article
Q&A with Enghin Atalay
Economic Insights — The author of this issue's article about long-run unemployment projections tells us how he became interested in economics.
Working Paper
Firm Technology Upgrading Through Emerging Work
WP20-44 - We propose a new measure of firms’ technology adoption, based on the types of employees they seek.
Featured Data
Livingston Survey
The oldest continuous survey of economists' expectations that summarizes the forecasts of economists from industry, government, banking, and academia
Updated: December 18, 2020
Survey of Professional Forecasters
The oldest quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States
Updated: 16 Nov ’20
Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index
An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency
Updated: 15 Jan ’21
Real-Time Data Set for Macroeconomists
The real-time data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of time series of major macroeconomic variables. The data set may be used by macroeconomic researchers to verify empirical results, to analyze policy, or to forecast. New vintages are added monthly.
Updated: 29 Dec ’20
GDPplus
Measure of the quarter-over-quarter rate of growth of real output in continuously compounded annualized percentage points
Updated: 22 Dec ’20
Aruoba Term Structure of Inflation Expectations
A continuous curve of inflation expectations three to 120 months ahead, analogous to a yield curve
Updated: 30 Dec ’20