The Economy

We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.

Housing Markets Under the Microscope: City by City, Year by Year

Research in Focus — Four economists measure house prices in a novel way, with significant implications for interpreting price levels across the broader U.S. economy.

Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency

Macroeconomics

Working Paper

The Heterogeneous Impact of Referrals on Labor Market Outcomes

WP 21-34/R – Referrals are used all the time to help workers and firms form matches. But what, exactly, do they do? This working paper explores the role that they play in the hiring process and the implications for employment, wages, and inequality.

A stylus marks a point on a digital screen displaying data.

Beneath the Crypto Currents: The Hidden Effect of Crypto “Whales”

WP 24-14 – Cryptocurrency markets are often characterized by market manipulation or, at the very least, by a sharp distinction between large and sophisticated investors and small retail investors.

Event

Oct

18-19

2024

Frontiers in Machine Learning and Economics: Methods and Applications – 2024

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability

Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month.

Regional Economics

Working Paper

Driving, Dropouts, and Drive-Throughs: Mobility Restrictions and Teen Human Capital

WP 22-22/R – Teens make important decisions about schooling and employment that impact their life trajectories. Moderate driving restrictions for teens reduce high school dropout rates. This reduction does not represent substitution away from employment.