The Economy

We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.

Macroeconomics

Article

The New Normal: Low Employment Growth in the U.S. Labor Market

Economic Insights — Employment growth has slowed considerably in the United States. After expanding by 120,000 per month during 2024, monthly payrolls grew on average by just 10,000 during 2025.

Monetary Policy

Article

How Did the U.S. Policy Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic Affect Inflation and Economic Growth?

Research in Focus — Fiscal transfers during the pandemic averted a depression-scale collapse at the cost of higher inflation rates, but supply-side disruptions explain most of the inflation surge.

Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency

Monetary Policy

Working Paper

Public and Private Money: Inflation Dynamics and Optimal Policy

WP 26-50 – The total money supply of a modern economy is a combination of publicly and privately issued monies.

Event

Oct

9-10

2026

2026 Conference on Real-Time Data Analysis, Methods, and Applications

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Regional Economics

Working Paper

The Welfare Impacts of Urban Renewal and Forced Relocation: Evidence from Chicago’s HOPE VI Demolitions

WP 26-49 – This paper studies one of the largest spatial redevelopment efforts in the United States: HOPE VI public housing demolitions.

Monetary Policy

Working Paper

The Treasury General Account and the Fed’s Balance Sheet

WP 26-48 – Changes in the Treasury’s cash management practices after the COVID pandemic increased the Fed’s balance sheet by as much as 2 percentage points of nominal GDP, including the larger buffer required to maintain ample reserve levels.