The Economy

We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.

Regional Economics

Working Paper

Evaluating Transportation Improvements Within Cities Using Quantitative Spatial Models

WP 26-13/R – Quantitative spatial models (QSMs) offer an economically and geographically realistic framework to evaluate the effects of transportation infrastructure within cities.

Regional Economics

Working Paper

Can LLMs Credibly Transform the Creation of Panel Data from Diverse Historical Tables?

WP 25-28/R – Multimodal large language models (LLMs) offer the potential for a watershed change for the digitization of historical tables by enabling low-cost processing that is centered on domain expertise rather than technical skill.

Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency

Regional Economics

Working Paper

Dynamic Individuals, Static Neighborhoods: Migration and Earnings Changes in Poor Neighborhoods

WP 26-53 – Why do poor neighborhoods stay poor?

Event

Oct

9-10

2026

2026 Conference on Real-Time Data Analysis, Methods, and Applications

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Regional Economics

Working Paper

Social Insurance with Imperfect Eligibility Screening: Theory and Evidence from Pandemic UI

WP 26-52 – This paper studies social insurance with imperfect eligibility screening, focusing on unemployment insurance (UI) during its expansion in 2020 and 2021.

Macroeconomics

Article

The New Normal: Low Employment Growth in the U.S. Labor Market

Economic Insights — Employment growth has slowed considerably in the United States. After expanding by 120,000 per month during 2024, monthly payrolls grew on average by just 10,000 during 2025.