The Economy

We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.

Magnifying glass resting atop paper with graph

Unlocking Historical Tables and Expanding Research Opportunities

Research in Focus — Two Fed economists and their coauthor design a new method for producing a digitized historical panel data set. Their test case is the adoption of vehicles in 20th century America.

Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency

Macroeconomics

Working Paper

Racial Heterogeneity in Consumption Responses to the Economic Impact Payment

WP 26-06 – We investigate how households of different racial groups changed their consumption expenditures differently upon receiving a pandemic check and what is behind the racial differences.

Macroeconomics

Working Paper

Large SVARs

WP 26-04 – We develop a new algorithm to analyze economic data using SVAR models identified with sign restrictions. We demonstrate its usefulness on a small SVAR of the world oil market and a large SVAR of the U.S. economy.

Event

Apr

3

2026

2026 Fintech and Financial Institutions Research Conference

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

The Geographic and Economic Implications of Working from Home

Economic Insights — More and more workers work from home. How will this affect different regions, and the economy?

The Effects of Wildfire and Distant Air Pollution on Household Financial Well-Being

WP 26-02 – While exposure to wildfire smoke is adverse to human health, little is known about related impacts on household economics.