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Survey of Professional Forecasters

The Survey of Professional Forecasters is the oldest quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States. The survey began in 1968 and was conducted by the American Statistical Association and the National Bureau of Economic Research. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia took over the survey in 1990.

The Survey of Professional Forecasters' web page offers the actual releases, documentation, mean and median forecasts of all the respondents as well as the individual responses from each economist. The individual responses are kept confidential by using identification numbers.

Recent Releases Last update: November 14, 2016, at 10:00 a.m. ET

previous releases

View previous releases of the Survey of Professional Forecasters going back to Third Quarter 1990. All surveys are in PDF format.

Historical SPF Forecast Data

Baseline Variables

New File Format Coming

Please note that on May 12, 2017, the data files will be changed to a different format and will have a .xlsx extension instead of .xls.

Special Variables and Special Questions


Other Forecast Surveys