Survey Form Examples: Survey of Professional Forecasters
- 2023 Q1 Form: This form shows the questionnaire is the same as the one in the 2014 Q1 survey, with the exception that we changed the ranges for density projections (in the 2020 Q2 survey) for real GDP and unemployment.
- 2014 Q1 Form: This form shows modifications to the survey to: (1) Change the ranges for density projections for unemployment and GDP inflation, and (2) change the question for long-term (10-year annual average) projections for the rate on 10-year constant maturity Treasury bonds.
- 2011 Q1 Form: This form shows how we added a “consistency check” to the questionnaire (first added in the survey of 2011 Q1) to help the panelists see the implications of their five- and 10-year annual-average inflation projections for their implied projection for five-year-annual-average inflation over the second-half of the 10-year horizon. A memo explaining the “consistency check” was sent to the forecasters before we sent the questionnaire.
- 2010 Q1 Form: This form shows a modification to the survey to include: (1) a longer annual horizon for real GDP, unemployment, and interest rates, (2) the rate on BAA corporate bonds, and (3) additional density forecasts.
- 2009 Q2 Form: This form shows how we modified the questionnaire to extend the annual horizon for unemployment and real GDP and add the associated density forecasts.
- 2007 Q1 Form: Example of survey from 2007 Q1.
- 2006 Q3 Form: Example of survey from 2006 Q3.
- 2001 Q1 Form: Example of survey from 2001 Q1.
- 1990 Q1 Form: Example of survey when NBER conducted it.
- 1981 Q2 Form: Before 1981 Q3, survey did not include annual forecasts, as this filled-in form from May 1981 indicates.
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