Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey

The Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey (MBOS) is a monthly qualitative survey of manufacturing firms in the Third District that captures information about current business activity and firms’ expectations of future activity. The survey asks participants to indicate the direction of change in activity and other measures at their firms over the past month as well as their expected direction of change six months from now.

Data Explorer

Data Downloads

Type
Title
Description
MBOS All Data Series

Provides time series of all monthly MBOS data, including diffusion indexes and components (percentage of firms reporting increases, no change, decreases), both seasonally adjusted and nonseasonally adjusted. Data begin in May 1968 and continue through the most current release month.

MBOS Diffusion Index Data Only

Provides time series of monthly seasonally adjusted diffusion indexes for all current and future indicators. Data begin in May 1968 and continue through the most current release month.

Release Calendar

Apr

16

2026

April Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey

8:30 a.m.

May

21

2026

May Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey

8:30 a.m.

About the Survey

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s MBOS is a monthly qualitative survey that asks high-level executives about the direction of change in activity at their manufacturing firms located in the Third District (Delaware, southern New Jersey, and eastern and central Pennsylvania). Sometimes referred to as the Philly Fed Index, the MBOS launched in 1968 and is the longest-running manufacturing survey compiled by a regional Federal Reserve Bank.

We ask manufacturers to indicate the direction of change (increase, no change, decrease) from the prior month for overall business activity as well as for these specific indicators: new orders, shipments, unfilled orders, delivery times, inventories, prices paid, prices received, employment, and average employee workweek. We also ask firms to indicate their expected direction of change over the upcoming six-month period for all these indicators and capital expenditures.

See the Methodology, User Guide, and FAQs for more information.

Contact the Team

PHIL Regional Economic Analysis

Email

phil.rea@phil.frb.org

Suggested Citation: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. Accessed Apr. 01, 2026, https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/regional-economic-analysis/manufacturing-business-outlook-survey.