Some industries exhibit a temporary reduction in employment in response to a permanent increase in TFP, whereas far more industries exhibit an employment increase in response to a permanent TFP shock. This raises serious questions about existing work that finds that a labor productivity shock has a strong negative effect on employment. There are tantalizing and interesting differences between TFP and labor productivity. The authors argue that TFP is a more natural measure of technology because labor productivity reflects shifts in the input mix as well as in technology.

View the Full Working Paper