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Survey of Professional Forecasters

Special Question on Growth of House Prices (First-Quarter Surveys)

In first-quarter surveys, we ask the panelists to provide forecasts for the growth in house prices (fourth quarter over fourth quarter, in percentage points), as measured by several different house price indices. Panelists are allowed to choose from a list of indices provided in the questionnaire or write in their own index. For each index of their choosing, panelists provide forecasts of growth in the current year and the next year. Furthermore, panelists also specify which particular index they regard as their primary measure of house prices.

The Excel files below provide the panelists’ responses. Additional documentation and a detailed explanation can be found in the Excel files.

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  • Last update: August 11, 2017