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First Quarter 2010 Survey of Professional Forecasters

Special Question

In this survey we asked panelists to provide forecasts for the growth in house prices (fourth-quarter over fourth-quarter), as measured by several different house price indices. Panelists were allowed to choose from a list of indices provided in the questionnaire or write in their own index. For each index of their choosing, panelists provided forecasts of growth in 2010 and 2011. Furthermore, panelists also specified which particular index they regard as their primary measure of house prices.

The list of indices provided is:

  • S&P/Case-Shiller: U.S. National
  • S&P/Case-Shiller: Composite 10
  • S&P/Case-Shiller: Composite 20
  • FHFA: U.S. Total
  • FHFA: Purchase Only
  • LoanPerformance: National, incl Distressed Sales (Single Family Combined)
  • NAR Median: Total Existing
  • Other (Panelist's write-in)

The Excel file below provides a record of all of the panelists' responses. Additional documentation and detailed explanation can be found in the Excel file.

View the individual responses to the special question. Excel spreadsheet (84 KB)

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