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Monday, May 21, 2012

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Highlights

Business Outlook Survey logoManufacturers Indicate That Growth Fell Back

Growth in the region’s manufacturing sector fell back from the pace of recent months, according to responses to May’s Business Outlook Survey. The survey’s broad indicators for general activity fell into negative territory for the first time in eight months; the diffusion index of current activity fell from a reading of 8.5 in April to -5.8 in May. In special questions this month, manufacturing firms were asked about the factors that are influencing their production and hiring plans. Read the survey. Read the press release. Watch a video of the press conference on our YouTube channel. YouTube

Survey of Professional ForecastersBank Releases 2Q Survey of Professional Forecasters

In this quarter's Survey of Professional Forecasters, participants answered special questions on whether their long-run forecasts for inflation in the price index for personal consumption expenditures are consistent with the FOMC's longer run goal of 2 percent. They also gave their forecasts for growth, inflation, and employment. Read the survey. Read the press release.

Photo of President Charles PlosserSpeech: Resilient Communities in a Resilient Economy

President Charles I. Plosser discusses the meaning of resilience and shares his personal experiences with resilient communities, in opening remarks at “Reinventing Older Communities: Building Resilient Cities,” in Philadelphia. He also outlines the Bank’s new research project to measure urban resilience. Read the speech.

Business Outlook Survey logoStudy Examines Growth, Current Conditions, and Revitalization Efforts of Small Industrial Cities

In Philadelphia’s Shadow: Small Cities in the Third Federal Reserve District examines the growth, current conditions, and revitalization efforts of 13 small formerly industrial cities. The report was written by Alan Mallach, a visiting scholar in the Bank’s Community Development Studies and Education Department. Read the summary. Read the paper PDF.

The Federal Reserve Bank of PhiladelphiaThe Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia helps formulate and implement monetary policy, supervises banks and bank holding companies, and provides financial services to depository institutions and the federal government. One of the 12 regional Banks that, together with the Board of Governors in Washington, D.C., make up the Federal Reserve System, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank serves eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware. Learn more about us.

The EconomyLast update: May 17, 2012, 10:45 a.m. ET

Business Outlook
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Business Outlook Survey
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Business Outlook Survey

A monthly survey of manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District.

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State Leading Indexes
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State Leading Indexes

Predict the nine-month growth rate of the state's coincident index.

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State Coincident Indexes
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State Coincident Indexes

Combine four state-level indicators to summarize current economic conditions in a single statistic.

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Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index: Plot Since 2000
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Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

Designed to track real macroeconomic activity at high frequency. Last updated on May 17, 2012.

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