The Economy

We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.

Outreach Economist and Advisor Ryotaro Tashiro speaks from a podium.

Building Bridges: An Outreach Economist's Role in Connecting Data to Daily Life

Ryo Tashiro is the Philadelphia Fed's eyes and ears on the ground. The outreach economist crisscrosses the Third District, making sense of economic trends for businesses and communities — and capturing local insights to help inform national monetary policy discussions.

Regional Economics

Working Paper

The Impact of Early Investments in Urban School Systems in the United States

WP 26-15 – Urban schools increased per pupil expenditures by 70 percent from 1918 to 1924, and these resources led to greater educational attainment and higher wages for less advantaged children.

Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency

Bank Loans to NBFIs: Evidence of Specialization, Part I

Economic Insights — Nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs) are reshaping American finance, providing credit to households and businesses from coast to coast. This has implications for all banks — and for the economy.

Event

Apr

3

2026

2026 Fintech and Financial Institutions Research Conference

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Housing Wealth and Consumption: The Role of Heterogeneous Credit Constraints

WP 22-34/R – Individual heterogeneity explains the link between declines in consumption and house values in 2006–2009. Credit constraints triggered by falling house prices and a few very constrained households are important. Wealth effects play no role.

Macroeconomics

Working Paper

On the Wisdom of Crowds (of Economists)

WP 26-14 – Averaging economists’ predictions boosts accuracy, and our theory shows how quickly those improvements accumulate.