The Economy
We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.
Article
Fintech Conference Explores Innovations, Regulation, and the Future of Finance
The Philadelphia Fed’s Ninth Annual Fintech Conference took place on November 12 and 13. This conference series helps lead the conversation on what financial innovations mean for the future.
Research
Our Research Department's high-quality academic and original research supports the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Bank's leadership as they address economic, finance, and public policy issues.
Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index
20 Nov ’25
An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency
Article
Decay, Abandonment, and . . . Profits? An Unlikely Combination in Real Estate Markets
17 Nov ’25
Research in Focus — Can property insurance be too generous? Four economists look at the consequences of a program that promised outsized benefits.
COVID-19
COVID-19 and the Philadelphia Fed
Get the Philadelphia Fed’s latest information, resources, and research on the coronavirus pandemic's impact on businesses, households, and communities.
Working Paper
The Great Reshuffle: Remote Work and Residential Sorting
WP 25-36 – The increasing net migration toward suburbs and small cities has been driven disproportionately by high-income people. As a result, housing expenses and employment vary by region, tempering the welfare inequality caused by remote work.
Event
Jan
2
2026
Day-Ahead Conference on Financial Markets and Institutions
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Working Paper
At-Risk Transformation for U.S. Recession Prediction
WP 25-34 – We flip a large set of economic indicators into simple on/off “at-risk” signals and combine them to forecast U.S. recessions. This method is fast and robust, and it often beats complex machine-learning models.
Data
Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability
12 Sep ’25
Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month.
Research
Research Assistant Opportunities for College Graduates
Working as a research assistant at the Philadelphia Fed is a rewarding experience, whichever career path you ultimately choose to pursue.