The Economy

We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.

Consumer Credit

Article

Do U.S. Bank Lenders Offer Less Credit to Highly Opioid-Impacted Communities?

Research in Focus — Wenli Li and Raluca Roman of the Philadelphia Fed and their coauthors studied the credit offered to people in counties ravaged by the opioid crisis and evaluated policy responses.

Second Quarter 2024 Survey of Professional Forecasters

Second Quarter 2024 Survey of Professional Forecasters

Macroeconomics

Article

Trends and Determinants of U.S. Markups

Research in Focus — Enghin Atalay of the Philadelphia Fed and his coauthors examined markups over time and considered the role of firm costs, market concentration, and consumer preferences.

Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability

Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month.

Event

Apr

19

2024

Fintech and Financial Institutions Research Conference

University of Delaware’s FinTech Innovation Hub

A Quantitative Model for Mapping the Consequences of Public Housing Demolitions

Research in Focus — Using Chicago’s housing stock as the basis for a quantitative model, the authors reveal the household-level economic consequences of demolishing public housing.

Monetary Policy

Working Paper

Price-Level Determination Under the Gold Standard

WP 24-06 – How does an economy behave in a historical environment where gold is the international monetary standard? We find that key features of this monetary system are long-run price stability and the nonneutrality of money in the short run.